Answering common questions on machine learning and prediction models, and why high randomness in football rules out absolute certainty on…
Investigating whether newly appointed managers genuinely favour damage-limitation draws in their opening fixtures, with the reasoning examined honestly.
Debunking the idea that desperate relegation strugglers routinely hold contenders to low-scoring draws, and why heavy mismatches usually hurt a…
Using expected goals and a simple Poisson model to show why 2-2 stalemates occur far less often than 1-1 ties,…
A practical guide to reading a weekend football card, weighing form and identifying fixtures that may suit a draw-focused pools…
A practical guide to separating home and away form so football pools forecasts reflect venue, opponents, team news and changing…
A scouting framework using points won from losing positions to spot sides that concede first but regularly fight back to…
"They always draw with each other" sounds compelling but often rests on managers and squads that no longer exist. A…
A look at why fierce local rivalries don't automatically mean more draws, and how higher red card and penalty rates…
A ten-man side doesn't automatically protect a tie. Working through why dismissals often break low-scoring deadlocks rather than preserve them.